trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 25 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 96% | 0% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 0% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 0% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $156 | $156 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shannon Lundgren be the Republican Nominee for IA-02? | Jun 04 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026? | May 17 | $205 | $0 | +0% |
| Pacers vs. Nets | Apr 10 | $882 | +$3 | +0% |
| Bulls vs. Spurs | Mar 31 | $882 | +$1 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Grizzlies | Mar 26 | $881 | +$1 | +0% |
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Mar 25 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be betwe | Mar 25 | $880 | +$1 | +0% |
| Pistons vs. Wizards | Mar 18 | $879 | +$1 | +0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nets | Mar 18 | $878 | +$1 | +0% |
| Wizards vs. Celtics | Mar 15 | $877 | +$1 | +0% |
| Jazz vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 14 | $876 | +$1 | +0% |
| Mavericks vs. Grizzlies | Mar 14 | $862 | +$14 | +2% |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | Mar 12 | $858 | +$4 | +0% |
| Nets vs. Heat | Mar 04 | $335 | $0 | +0% |
| Mavericks vs. Hornets | Mar 04 | $519 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 28? | Mar 01 | $856 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $350? | Feb 14 | $855 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Meta (META) close above $780 end of January? | Jan 31 | $971 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $48 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $113 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $168 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $169 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $422 | $0 | +0% |