Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:26:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x51e3…637b
crypto · 456 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$204 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$170 · open +$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$170
Unrealized+$27
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses212 / 242
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)454 / 456
History coverage44d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day26.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 454 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days+$36
14 days+$32
30 days−$143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 0¢ 56¢ $0 $27 +$27 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +56%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $69 +$80 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$8 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$7 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$15 +146%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $44 +$28 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +64%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +56%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$112
sports 32% +$9
other 2% −$21
weather 1% −$18
world 0% $0
economics 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $21 0m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $15 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $17 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $32 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $48 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $18 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $16 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $12 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -27.5% -34.4% 44% 38% -5.5%
≤30d 340 -19.7% -27.4% 45% 35% -14.4%
≤90d 454 -15.8% -23.8% 47% 39% -14.2%
all 454 -15.8% -23.8% 47% 39% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.8% 39% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 33% -22.4%
15% -37.8% 25% -29.9%
20% -43.9% 19% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.90 · official $24.05 · 1643 history records