trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +62.0% | +46.6% | 100% | 100% | +46.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +62.0% | +46.6% | 100% | 100% | +46.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 71% | 57% | -9.4% |
| all | 44 | +1.7% | -7.9% | 73% | 64% | +10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.9% | 64% | +10.6% |
| 10% | -16.8% | 50% | -0.0% |
| 15% | -24.8% | 32% | -9.7% |
| 20% | -32.2% | 11% | -18.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $101 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 82¢ | 81¢ | $70 | $70 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 78¢ | 80¢ | $60 | $61 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 56¢ | 57¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $51 | +$31 | +62% |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 24 | $1,019 | +$8 | +1% |
| Timberwolves vs. Celtics | Mar 23 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Suns | Mar 23 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Mar 23 | $100 | +$28 | +28% |
| Nets vs. Kings | Mar 23 | $100 | +$49 | +49% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 22 | $200 | +$42 | +21% |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 22 | $1,080 | +$60 | +6% |
| Bucks vs. Suns | Mar 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Hawks | Mar 22 | $100 | +$25 | +25% |
| 76ers vs. Jazz | Mar 22 | $100 | +$43 | +43% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pelicans | Mar 22 | $100 | +$56 | +56% |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Mar 22 | $100 | +$34 | +34% |
| Heat vs. Rockets | Mar 22 | $100 | −$71 | -71% |
| Lakers vs. Magic | Mar 22 | $100 | −$95 | -95% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves | Mar 21 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets | Mar 21 | $100 | +$39 | +39% |
| Warriors vs. Pistons | Mar 21 | $100 | +$49 | +49% |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Mar 21 | $100 | +$69 | +70% |
| Lakers vs. Heat | Mar 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Kings | Mar 20 | $100 | +$75 | +75% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | Mar 20 | $100 | +$15 | +15% |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Mar 20 | $100 | +$25 | +25% |
| Magic vs. Hornets | Mar 20 | $200 | +$54 | +27% |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Mar 20 | $100 | +$89 | +89% |
| Pistons vs. Wizards | Mar 20 | $200 | +$10 | +5% |
| Bucks vs. Jazz | Mar 20 | $100 | −$63 | -63% |
| Thunder vs. Nets | Mar 19 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves | Mar 19 | $100 | +$14 | +14% |
| Warriors vs. Celtics | Mar 19 | $100 | +$15 | +15% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pacers | Mar 19 | $100 | +$20 | +20% |
| Hawks vs. Mavericks | Mar 19 | $100 | +$37 | +37% |
| Raptors vs. Bulls | Mar 19 | $100 | +$47 | +47% |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Mar 19 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | Feb 13 | $514 | +$179 | +35% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | Feb 13 | $71 | +$29 | +41% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Feb 13 | $74 | +$26 | +35% |
| Bucks vs. Thunder | Feb 13 | $85 | −$85 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 10 | $69 | +$31 | +45% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playof | Jan 26 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports (BO3) | Dec 16 | $6,125 | +$1,152 | +19% |
| LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God (BO3) | Dec 16 | $6,013 | +$2,343 | +39% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Dec 16 | $3,072 | +$1,002 | +33% |