Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:33:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x51f7…ae1f
sports · 655 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$766 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$510 · open +$1,276
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,875
Realized−$510
Unrealized+$1,276
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses278 / 325
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$655
Open positions67
Markets (closed)603 / 655
History coverage40d
Avg bet$111
Trades / day70.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 67 History 603 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$112
7 days−$155
14 days+$309
30 days−$1,118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 85¢ 82¢ $1,786 $1,732 −$53 (-3%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 36¢ 100¢ $610 $1,674 +$1,064 (+174%)
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? No 50¢ 61¢ $610 $744 +$134 (+22%)
Will Leicester Tigers win? No 69¢ 74¢ $556 $603 +$47 (+8%)
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 15¢ 18¢ $314 $388 +$75 (+24%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) Atlanta Braves 25¢ 50¢ $191 $378 +$187 (+98%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 69¢ 100¢ $231 $335 +$104 (+45%)
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? No 94¢ 99¢ $246 $259 +$13 (+5%)
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 73¢ 69¢ $266 $253 −$13 (-5%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 55¢ 58¢ $231 $245 +$15 (+6%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 73¢ 70¢ $256 $245 −$11 (-4%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 66¢ 98¢ $132 $196 +$64 (+49%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? No 87¢ 90¢ $184 $192 +$7 (+4%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 68¢ 66¢ $173 $168 −$5 (-3%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No 65¢ 74¢ $135 $151 +$17 (+12%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Yes 33¢ 50¢ $79 $121 +$43 (+55%)
Austria vs. Jordan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 43¢ 38¢ $134 $119 −$16 (-12%)
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 70¢ 66¢ $126 $119 −$7 (-6%)
France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 73¢ 69¢ $124 $117 −$7 (-5%)
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 79¢ 76¢ $121 $117 −$4 (-3%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 92¢ 97¢ $112 $117 +$6 (+5%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 72¢ 68¢ $122 $116 −$6 (-5%)
Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 69¢ 65¢ $116 $109 −$7 (-6%)
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 36¢ 34¢ $94 $88 −$5 (-6%)
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 42¢ 38¢ $91 $81 −$10 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Shimabukuro Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Chiefs win? Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $172 −$172 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Stevenson/Willis vs Blanchet/Jacquet Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Piraino vs Bilardo Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Sciahbasi vs Rivet Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 12 $82 +$143 +174%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $79 +$21 +27%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 11 $156 +$209 +134%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $4 +$6 +172%
Orebro SK vs. GIF Sundsvall: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $30 +$5 +17%
Exact Score: Varbergs BoIS 1 - 3 Norrby IF? Jun 10 $119 +$9 +7%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $562 −$116 -21%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Netherlands vs. Poland: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $20 +$7 +32%
Iceland vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $10 +$3 +27%
France vs. Ireland: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $10 +$4 +36%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Xiaodi You Jun 09 $14 −$14 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth Jun 09 $83 −$83 -100%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez Jun 09 $15 +$20 +133%
Ilkley: Linda Klimovicova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Japan vs Thailand - Who wins the toss? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Mongolia vs Myanmar - Who wins the toss? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Comple Jun 09 $43 −$43 -100%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $1,973 +$116 +6%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Himeno Sakatsume Jun 08 $35 +$53 +152%
StarCraft II: herO vs Cure - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
StarCraft II: herO vs Cure - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Will Chiefs win? Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 08 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Racing 92 win? Jun 08 $58 −$58 -100%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 08 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Gran Jun 08 $150 −$150 -100%
Libema Open, Qualification: Anouck Vrancken-Peeters vs Anouk Koeverman Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $97 −$97 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 08 $300 −$300 -100%
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd Jun 08 $195 −$195 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% +$533
sports 49% +$372
politics 1% +$257
world 0% −$337
tech 0% −$60
finance 0% +$12
weather 0% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 45¢ $5 55m
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 45¢ $1 56m
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Shimabukuro BUY Shelton 0¢ $2 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 71¢ $22 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 71¢ $50 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 71¢ $50 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 71¢ $50 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 71¢ $50 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 71¢ $50 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 71¢ $50 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 63¢ $5 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 63¢ $11 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 66¢ $19 1h
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 66¢ $202 1h
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY No 50¢ $203 2h
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY No 50¢ $203 2h
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY No 50¢ $203 2h
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY No 50¢ $10 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti? BUY No 60¢ $1 2h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $123 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $95 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 36¢ $126 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 36¢ $126 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 36¢ $88 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $64 3h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 92¢ $74 4h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 58¢ $13 4h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 57¢ $56 4h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 57¢ $17 4h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 58¢ $8 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -15.8% -23.8% 40% 34% -10.4%
≤30d 400 +22.6% +10.9% 44% 38% -11.5%
≤90d 603 +31.8% +19.3% 46% 40% -10.2%
all 603 +31.8% +19.3% 46% 40% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.3% 40% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here +7.8% 35% -18.8%
15% -2.6% 29% -26.7%
20% -12.1% 23% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,874.60 · official $9,874.66 (match) · 3500 history records