trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 63 | +10.7% | +0.1% | 52% | 27% | -3.4% |
| ≤30d | 75 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 52% | 31% | -4.2% |
| ≤90d | 137 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 47% | 34% | -5.4% |
| all | 148 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 47% | 32% | -5.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 32% | -5.9% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 26% | -14.9% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 18% | -23.1% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 14% | -30.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Algeria (-2.5) | Jordan | 85¢ | 84¢ | $94 | $92 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | Korea Republic | 93¢ | 92¢ | $91 | $90 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Korea Republic | 78¢ | 78¢ | $76 | $76 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Algeria (-1.5) | Jordan | 65¢ | 66¢ | $72 | $72 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | No | 52¢ | 52¢ | $51 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | No | 39¢ | 38¢ | $43 | $42 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $24 | $23 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | $16 | $17 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Korea Republic | 8¢ | 8¢ | $8 | $7 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Spread: Jordan (-1.5) | Jordan | 5¢ | 5¢ | $6 | $5 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) | Korea Republic | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Spread: Jordan (-2.5) | Jordan | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $56 | +$196 | +349% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $223 | +$25 | +11% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $150 | −$1 | -1% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 18 | $34 | +$54 | +158% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $122 | +$135 | +110% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 18 | $18 | +$5 | +25% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $214 | +$18 | +8% |
| Spread: South Africa (-2.5) | Jun 18 | $44 | +$1 | +2% |
| Spread: South Africa (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $42 | +$3 | +6% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 18 | $55 | −$53 | -97% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $80 | −$79 | -98% |
| Spread: Czechia (-2.5) | Jun 18 | $28 | −$27 | -97% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $167 | −$165 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $85 | −$72 | -85% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $189 | +$57 | +30% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $239 | +$17 | +7% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $46 | +$179 | +387% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $106 | +$128 | +121% |
| Spread: Algeria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $164 | +$4 | +2% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Spread: Iraq (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $129 | +$18 | +14% |
| Spread: Senegal (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $14 | −$9 | -59% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $81 | +$53 | +65% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $38 | −$24 | -65% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 16 | $37 | −$26 | -70% |
| Spread: New Zealand (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $14 | −$9 | -64% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $35 | −$17 | -48% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $60 | −$15 | -24% |
| Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $75 | −$6 | -9% |
| Spread: IR Iran (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $82 | −$3 | -4% |
| Spread: Iraq (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Spread: New Zealand (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $28 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $54 | −$50 | -92% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $69 | −$62 | -89% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $32 | −$32 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 15 | $84 | −$83 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $42 | +$1 | +4% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $32 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $43 | +$1 | +1% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $38 | +$2 | +6% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 14 | $65 | +$30 | +46% |
| Spread: Curaçao (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +0% |