Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:00:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x520d…e474
sports · 116 markets active 1h ago
9.0score
+$1,291 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,291 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$710
Realized+$1,291
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses84 / 29
Est. fees paid−$106
Open positions3
Markets (closed)113 / 116
History coverage143d
Avg bet$135
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$300
7 days+$814
14 days+$595
30 days+$1,503
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Barcelona 61¢ 61¢ $310 $310 −$0 (-0%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever 82¢ 82¢ $200 $201 +$1 (+1%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Dallas Wings 70¢ 69¢ $200 $199 −$1 (-1%)
Quimsa vs. Gimnasia Quimsa 67¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Connecticut Sun 90¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Lokomotiv Kuban 28¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Joventut vs. Saski Baskonia Saski Baskonia 42¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 68¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Anadolu Efes vs. Fenerbahce Fenerbahce 56¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Strasbourg vs. Paris Basketball Paris Basketball 72¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Real Madrid 84¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $201 +$58 +29%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $252 +$100 +40%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $202 +$88 +44%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $273 +$54 +20%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $202 +$72 +36%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $443 −$150 -34%
Hapoel Holon BC vs. Maccabi Tel-Aviv Jun 10 $251 +$54 +22%
Legia Warszawa vs. Basket Zielona Gora Jun 10 $202 +$84 +42%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $252 +$77 +31%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $201 +$62 +31%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $201 +$55 +27%
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 09 $251 +$30 +12%
Anadolu Efes vs. Fenerbahce Jun 07 $253 +$185 +73%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 07 $253 +$140 +55%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $171 +$27 +16%
Quimsa vs. Gimnasia Jun 06 $222 −$220 -99%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 06 $801 +$98 +12%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $243 +$84 +35%
Olimpia Milano vs. Pallacanestro Brescia Jun 05 $252 +$67 +27%
Joventut vs. Saski Baskonia Jun 05 $134 −$132 -98%
Bilbao Basket vs. Valencia Jun 05 $232 +$106 +46%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions Jun 05 $164 +$52 +32%
Anadolu Efes vs. Fenerbahce Jun 05 $101 −$100 -99%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $142 +$84 +60%
Telekom Baskets Bonn vs. FC Bayern Munchen Jun 04 $479 +$164 +34%
Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gill Jun 04 $296 −$296 -100%
Valencia vs. Bilbao Basket Jun 03 $184 +$27 +14%
Fenerbahce vs. Anadolu Efes Jun 03 $202 +$66 +33%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 03 $143 +$41 +29%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $202 −$200 -99%
Gimnasia vs. Ferro Carril Oeste Jun 03 $162 +$82 +51%
Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcina Jun 03 $71 −$71 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Jun 02 $302 +$112 +37%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 02 $253 +$163 +64%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 02 $69 −$69 -99%
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 02 $301 −$300 -100%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 01 $102 −$100 -98%
Boca Juniors vs. Quimsa Jun 01 $69 +$91 +132%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5 May 31 $50 +$18 +36%
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 May 31 $101 +$50 +50%
Mexico vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score May 31 $201 +$58 +29%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun May 31 $303 −$303 -100%
Besiktas vs. Galatasaray May 30 $282 +$83 +30%
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty May 30 $143 +$69 +48%
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Barcelona May 29 $286 +$83 +29%
Esenler Erokspor vs. Fenerbahce May 29 $453 +$140 +31%
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal May 28 $202 +$84 +42%
Strasbourg vs. Paris Basketball May 28 $151 −$150 -99%
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire May 28 $202 +$88 +43%
Bourg-en-Bresse vs. Monaco May 27 $239 +$277 +116%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$1,325
crypto 11% −$131
other 5% +$146
politics 1% +$32
tech 1% −$68
world 1% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 100¢ $259 1h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY Barcelona 61¢ $314 4h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 82¢ $201 4h
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 70¢ $202 4h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 77¢ $201 28h
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife SELL Barcelona 100¢ $327 36h
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings BUY Dallas Wings 71¢ $252 36h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $202 37h
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife BUY Barcelona 83¢ $273 45h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm BUY Los Angeles Sparks 73¢ $202 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Connecticut Sun 90¢ $150 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo SELL Toronto Tempo 11¢ $52 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Toronto Tempo 39¢ $91 2d
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Toronto Tempo 76¢ $201 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $252 2d
Legia Warszawa vs. Basket Zielona Gora BUY Legia Warszawa 70¢ $202 3d
Hapoel Holon BC vs. Maccabi Tel-Aviv BUY Maccabi Tel-Aviv 82¢ $251 3d
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky BUY Atlanta Dream 78¢ $201 3d
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries BUY Golden State Valkyries 76¢ $201 3d
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun BUY New York Liberty 89¢ $251 4d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 86¢ $171 5d
Anadolu Efes vs. Fenerbahce BUY Fenerbahce 57¢ $253 6d
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball BUY Paris Basketball 64¢ $253 6d
Quimsa vs. Gimnasia BUY Quimsa 67¢ $222 6d
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx SELL Minnesota Lynx 100¢ $899 6d
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx BUY Minnesota Lynx 89¢ $801 7d
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire SELL Phoenix Mercury 100¢ $327 7d
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire BUY Phoenix Mercury 77¢ $201 7d
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire BUY Phoenix Mercury 61¢ $42 7d
Joventut vs. Saski Baskonia BUY Saski Baskonia 42¢ $134 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +16.9% +5.8% 88% 88% +7.5%
≤30d 102 +7.9% -2.4% 76% 71% +0.4%
≤90d 109 +5.6% -4.5% 75% 70% -1.0%
all 113 +5.2% -4.8% 74% 69% -1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.8% 69% -1.5%
10% -14.0% 52% -10.9%
15% -22.3% 30% -19.5%
20% -29.9% 15% -27.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $709.99 · official $702.40 · 241 history records