Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x520d…7bb5
crypto · 443 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$957 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$957 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$957
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses357 / 112
Open positions1
Markets (closed)469 / 443
History coverage8d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day406.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 469 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$849
7 days−$929
14 days−$957
30 days−$957
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 73¢ 76¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$160
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 398 -10.7% -19.2% 77% 17% -30.7%
≤30d 469 -8.6% -17.3% 76% 20% -28.4%
≤90d 469 -8.6% -17.3% 76% 20% -28.4%
all 469 -8.6% -17.3% 76% 20% -28.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover406.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 20% -28.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 12% -35.2%
15% -32.4% 8% -41.5%
20% -39.1% 6% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.03 · official $1.03 (match) · 3500 history records