trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -34.8% | -41.0% | 40% | 40% | +2.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -47.9% | -52.8% | 33% | 25% | -27.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -47.9% | -52.8% | 33% | 25% | -27.2% |
| all | 12 | -47.9% | -52.8% | 33% | 25% | -27.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -52.8% | 25% | -27.2% |
| 10% | -57.4% | 25% | -34.2% |
| 15% | -61.5% | 25% | -40.6% |
| 20% | -65.3% | 8% | -46.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FI | Jun 23 | $101 | +$44 | +43% |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $507 | +$419 | +83% |
| Will Paraguay finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group | Jun 18 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $121 | −$120 | -99% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $409 | +$155 | +38% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $475 | −$470 | -99% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $507 | +$43 | +8% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 08 | $155 | −$73 | -47% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 08 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi | Jun 08 | $59 | −$58 | -99% |