Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5226…a357
crypto · 1335 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$875 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$875 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$875
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1141 / 471
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1612 / 1335
History coverage30d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day78.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 1612 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$847
7 days−$874
14 days−$902
30 days−$875
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$32
other 3% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-25.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 596 -45.9% -51.0% 45% 43% -61.3%
≤30d 1612 -18.1% -25.9% 71% 45% -29.9%
≤90d 1612 -18.1% -25.9% 71% 45% -29.9%
all 1612 -18.1% -25.9% 71% 45% -29.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.9% 45% -29.9%
10% ← realistic here -33.0% 15% -36.6%
15% -39.4% 4% -42.7%
20% -45.4% 2% -48.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records