trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 9 | -9.8% | -18.4% | 22% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -9.8% | -18.4% | 22% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 26 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 27% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $42 | $42 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 08 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $85 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 07 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $46 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 04 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 02 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025? | Jul 22 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? | Jun 23 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oracle buy TikTok? | Jun 23 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 22 | $16 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish second in the 2025 Drivers Champions | Jun 21 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Starmer out before July? | Jun 17 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Jun 17 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | Jun 17 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025? | Jun 16 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 15 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 14 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 12 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 12 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 11 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jun 11 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 10 | $20 | $0 | +0% |