trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 57% | 0% | -8.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 42% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 42% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 22 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 64% | 0% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 0% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | No | 74¢ | 75¢ | $36 | $37 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $7 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $37 | +$3 | +9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $45 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $35 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 24 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 05 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 04 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 03 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 28? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 25 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 China Grand Prix? | Mar 24 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 China Grand Prix? | Mar 22 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German electio | Mar 21 | $14 | $0 | +1% |