Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:55:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5248…b976
sports · 399 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$31 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$56
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses219 / 173
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions7
Markets (closed)392 / 399
History coverage14d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day60.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 7 History 392 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$62
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 31¢ 100¢ $10 $32 +$22 (+222%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 25¢ 100¢ $5 $20 +$15 (+300%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 25¢ 100¢ $5 $20 +$15 (+300%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 39¢ 100¢ $5 $13 +$8 (+156%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Leicester Tigers win? No 76¢ 64¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-16%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Donstu Esports 33¢ 17¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-48%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Set 2 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +45%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$5 -30%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $5 +$4 +78%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $15 +$5 +36%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5 Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Carolina Alves Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$3 +63%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Lily Taylor Jun 11 $5 +$2 +48%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $10 +$9 +87%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +45%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Maksimovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$3 +59%
ITF Martos: Enrique Carrascosa Diaz vs Pablo Perez Ramos Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$125
crypto 15% −$8
other 4% −$40
weather 3% −$45
finance 1% −$4
world 1% −$1
politics 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Leicester Tigers win? BUY No 76¢ $5 6m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 25¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY Donstu Esports 33¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $5 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $7 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 53¢ $5 2h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 53¢ $5 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 73¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 25¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $5 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner SELL Misa Esports 100¢ $7 3h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 68¢ $5 3h
Set 2 Winner: Jovic vs Anisimova BUY Anisimova 78¢ $5 3h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 35¢ $5 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 68¢ $5 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 35¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 34¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 47¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 36¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $5 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $6 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 86¢ $5 7h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY Lokomotiv Kuban 55¢ $5 7h
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Doosan Bears 54¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 64¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 75¢ $5 9h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 76¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 239 +1.8% -7.9% 62% 49% -5.8%
≤30d 392 -3.7% -12.8% 56% 44% -10.3%
≤90d 392 -3.7% -12.8% 56% 44% -10.3%
all 392 -3.7% -12.8% 56% 44% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 44% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 37% -18.9%
15% -28.8% 30% -26.7%
20% -35.8% 21% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.94 · official $94.94 (match) · 1118 history records