trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -10.5% | -19.0% | 86% | 14% | -24.3% |
| all | 22 | +4.6% | -5.4% | 91% | 27% | +3.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.4% | 27% | +3.9% |
| 10% | -14.4% | 18% | -6.0% |
| 15% | -22.7% | 18% | -15.1% |
| 20% | -30.3% | 14% | -23.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $58 | $58 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $57 | $57 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chainlink reach $16 in May? | Jun 02 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | Jun 02 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q | May 19 | $226 | −$225 | -100% |
| LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $186 | +$40 | +21% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 23 | $186 | +$1 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Apr 09 | $184 | +$2 | +1% |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Mar 31 | $177 | +$7 | +4% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Mar 02 | $1,932 | +$1,086 | +56% |
| Rockets vs. Magic | Feb 27 | $625 | +$14 | +2% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bulls | Feb 27 | $1,281 | +$13 | +1% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Feb 27 | $290 | +$130 | +45% |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals | Feb 18 | $725 | +$1 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Feb 12 | $1,579 | +$196 | +12% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Feb 06 | $900 | +$679 | +75% |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner | Feb 03 | $504 | +$396 | +79% |
| LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner | Feb 02 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Wizards | Jan 29 | $1,002 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 12 above $215? | Jan 17 | $1,001 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jan 02 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $61 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $241 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $653 | +$1 | +0% |