Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:22:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5276…fcb3
crypto · 266 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses191 / 75
Open positions0
Markets (closed)266 / 266
History coverage48d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 21 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 21 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 20 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 20 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET May 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 19 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 18 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET May 17 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET May 16 $3 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 16 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 15 $3 +$4 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 15 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 15 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 15 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 15 $3 +$4 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 15 $3 −$3 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 15 $3 −$2 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 15 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 15 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 14 $3 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 14 $3 +$4 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 22d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 22d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +7.0% -3.2% 89% 61% -3.2%
≤30d 53 -10.0% -18.6% 58% 47% -18.9%
≤90d 266 -5.7% -14.6% 72% 46% -14.4%
all 266 -5.7% -14.6% 72% 46% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 46% -14.4%
10% -22.8% 33% -22.6%
15% -30.3% 24% -30.1%
20% -37.1% 14% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3348 history records