trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 11% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 9% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Jun 26 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 04 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 01 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $100 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 19 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | May 14 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 12 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 05 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 22 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 17 | $101 | $0 | +0% |