Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:52:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5289…0514
crypto · 670 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$14 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses304 / 366
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)670 / 670
History coverage25d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day112.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 670 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$39
14 days−$81
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$39 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$26 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$8 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$12 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$37 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$21 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$13 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$54 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$33 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$27 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$19 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $27 −$14 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$14 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$15 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $38 +$24 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$20 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 10 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $22 +$33 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$33
other 1% +$62
sports 0% +$2
weather 0% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 -0.8% -10.2% 39% 39% -10.6%
≤30d 670 +4.9% -5.1% 45% 44% -9.6%
≤90d 670 +4.9% -5.1% 45% 44% -9.6%
all 670 +4.9% -5.1% 45% 44% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover112.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 44% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 43% -18.2%
15% -22.5% 41% -26.1%
20% -30.1% 37% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records