Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5290…c06a
crypto · 383 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,027 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,026 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,026
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses158 / 224
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)382 / 383
History coverage32d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day44.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 382 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$129
14 days−$283
30 days−$1,248
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 52¢ 32¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$28 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$1 -7%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 09 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-06-07? Jun 09 $9 −$5 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$8 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 07 $4 +$7 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $107 −$36 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$971
sports 2% −$19
weather 1% −$31
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -25.2% -32.3% 32% 24% -26.4%
≤30d 354 -11.6% -20.0% 40% 33% -36.0%
≤90d 382 -9.6% -18.2% 41% 35% -28.1%
all 382 -9.6% -18.2% 41% 35% -28.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 35% -28.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 32% -35.0%
15% -33.2% 29% -41.3%
20% -39.7% 26% -47.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.25 · official $2.37 · 1713 history records