trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +85.2% | +67.5% | 100% | 100% | +67.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 67% | 33% | -1.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -53.1% | -57.5% | 27% | 18% | -9.0% |
| all | 16 | +6.7% | -3.4% | 44% | 38% | +1.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.4% | 38% | +1.3% |
| 10% | -12.7% | 31% | -8.4% |
| 15% | -21.1% | 25% | -17.2% |
| 20% | -28.8% | 25% | -25.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $267 | $266 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $102 | $101 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 6¢ | 2¢ | $6 | $2 | −$4 (-67%) |
| Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-59%) |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-61%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 22 | $25 | +$22 | +85% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 07 | $277 | +$15 | +6% |
| Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 07 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Apr 07 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025? | Apr 05 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900.00 by March 31? | Apr 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | Apr 05 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | Apr 05 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Will anyone say "Tariff" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 05 | $852 | −$258 | -30% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 05 | $640 | +$358 | +56% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | Dec 29 | $74 | +$26 | +35% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 29 | $18 | +$82 | +456% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 29 | $640 | +$140 | +22% |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | Sep 21 | $38 | +$72 | +186% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | Jul 31 | $39 | −$3 | -7% |