Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52a8…cf3b
crypto · 1353 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$151 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$151 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$151
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1155 / 197
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1352 / 1353
History coverage15d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day142.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 1352 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days−$39
14 days−$229
30 days−$151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 79¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 92¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 73¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 80¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 93¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 75¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 71¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 56¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 71¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 75¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 74¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 51¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 64¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 58¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 69¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 78¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 64¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 76¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 81¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 63¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 92¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 96¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 79¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 76¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 62¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$91
other 15% −$51
politics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $6 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 596 -0.6% -10.0% 86% 37% -10.6%
≤30d 1352 -1.6% -11.0% 85% 36% -11.4%
≤90d 1352 -1.6% -11.0% 85% 36% -11.4%
all 1352 -1.6% -11.0% 85% 36% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover142.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 36% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 21% -19.8%
15% -27.3% 10% -27.6%
20% -34.4% 3% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records