Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52a9…f4af
crypto · 1763 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,719 -42%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,719 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$3,719
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1717 / 154
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1871 / 1763
History coverage22d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day80.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 10 History 1871 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,638
7 days−$3,655
14 days−$3,669
30 days−$3,719
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$1 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin above 77,200 on May 20, 7AM ET? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum above 2,115 on May 20, 7AM ET? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 10AM ET? Yes 100¢ 99¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 12, 10AM ET? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 10AM ET? Yes 100¢ 98¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 10AM ET? Yes 100¢ 98¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 12, 10AM ET? No 100¢ 97¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 100¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 7AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 2, 7AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 2PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 4AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Ethereum above 2,305 on May 8, 2PM ET? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 15, 11PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 4, 12PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$54
other 15% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum above 1,640 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 12, 10AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 12, 9AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 9AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 8AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $3 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 12, 7AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $3 3h
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 12, 7AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 3h
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 12, 7AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 12, 7AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 7AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 12, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 12, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 5h
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $3 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 4AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 818 -14.5% -22.6% 84% 1% -63.0%
≤30d 1871 -6.8% -15.6% 92% 1% -36.6%
≤90d 1871 -6.8% -15.6% 92% 1% -36.6%
all 1871 -6.8% -15.6% 92% 1% -36.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 1% -36.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 1% -42.7%
15% -31.1% 0% -48.2%
20% -37.8% 0% -53.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.18 · official $65.18 (match) · 3500 history records