Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T17:19:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
52 0x52aa…d1e6 crypto 561 markets active 0h ago coverage 142d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$287 (-3%) realized −$287 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate65%362W / 199L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day7.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days−$124
14 days−$496
30 days−$489
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$364
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 170 -13.8% -22.0% 48% 46% -26.0%
≤30d 377 -12.7% -21.0% 50% 47% -26.8%
≤90d 377 -12.7% -21.0% 50% 47% -26.8%
all 561 -7.3% -16.2% 65% 34% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 34% -13.0%
10% -24.2% 29% -21.3%
15% -31.5% 27% -28.9%
20% -38.2% 24% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -19% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +13% → late -28% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$8 · ×0.42 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

142d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$287
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses362 / 199
Open positions0
Markets (closed)561 / 561
History coverage142d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 561 Trades
no open positions (101 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$3 +157%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$2 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$5 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +87%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +87%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$7 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +87%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$6 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$1 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $6 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1142 history records