Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:55:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52ae…3f78
crypto · 381 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$684 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$684 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$684
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses130 / 249
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)379 / 381
History coverage104d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 379 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$48
14 days−$48
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$6 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$1 -17%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? May 16 $3 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Apr 28 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Apr 28 $5 +$1 +26%
Iran leadership change by April 30? Apr 28 $139 −$119 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Apr 19 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 18 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Apr 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Apr 17 $6 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Apr 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Apr 13 $1 +$3 +274%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Apr 11 $148 −$109 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Apr 10 $2 +$2 +76%
Will Trump visit China by March 31? Apr 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump visit China by April 30? Apr 08 $1 $0 -0%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Apr 08 $21 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Mar 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Mar 30 $22 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 30 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Mar 30 $7 −$5 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Mar 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Mar 30 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Mar 30 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Mar 30 $23 −$18 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 30 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Mar 28 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Mar 28 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Mar 28 $5 +$3 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$97
world 30% −$566
other 3% −$16
sports 1% $0
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -28.5% -35.3% 32% 27% -56.8%
≤30d 23 -30.6% -37.2% 30% 26% -57.5%
≤90d 287 -34.4% -40.6% 28% 25% -46.1%
all 379 -9.8% -18.4% 34% 32% -34.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 32% -34.9%
10% -26.2% 31% -41.2%
15% -33.3% 28% -46.8%
20% -39.9% 24% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $64.20 · 1448 history records