Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:06:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52c0…9542
sports · 6 markets active 1h ago
7.5score
+$34 +49%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$5
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses5 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage233d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 10 $27 +$16 +59%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) Nov 02 $21 +$7 +31%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) Oct 31 $10 +$11 +108%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 23? Oct 23 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$33
tech 7% +$1
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +80%
net ROI/market (all)+28.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +11.9% +1.2% 100% 100% +1.2%
≤30d 1 +11.9% +1.2% 100% 100% +1.2%
≤90d 1 +11.9% +1.2% 100% 100% +1.2%
all 5 +42.2% +28.7% 100% 80% +38.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +28.7% 80% +38.5%
10% +16.3% 60% +25.2%
15% +5.1% 40% +13.1%
20% -5.2% 40% +2.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.46 · official $5.46 (match) · 11 history records