Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:34:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52c6…8d0d
crypto · 57 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$14 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$18
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses23 / 33
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)56 / 57
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day64.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$18
14 days+$18
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 28¢ 10¢ $10 $3 −$7 (-66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $15 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$7 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $17 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$32 +1508%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -72%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $18 −$11 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$10 +900%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +152%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$31
other 8% −$18
sports 2% −$2
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 3m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 45¢ $15 4m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $15 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $27 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $19 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $18 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +18.5% +7.2% 41% 36% -3.0%
≤30d 56 +18.5% +7.2% 41% 36% -3.0%
≤90d 56 +18.5% +7.2% 41% 36% -3.0%
all 56 +18.5% +7.2% 41% 36% -3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.2% 36% -3.0%
10% ← realistic here -3.0% 32% -12.3%
15% -12.4% 27% -20.8%
20% -21.0% 21% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.39 · official $4.46 · 132 history records