Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:21:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
52 0x52cb…ff0c crypto 255 markets active 2h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (194 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,225 (+14%) realized +$1,225 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate36%93W / 162L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$35per market
Trades / day193.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$814
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (194 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 255 -9.5% -18.1% 36% 33% -1.2%
≤30d 255 -9.5% -18.1% 36% 33% -1.2%
≤90d 255 -9.5% -18.1% 36% 33% -1.2%
all 255 -9.5% -18.1% 36% 33% -1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover193.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 33% -1.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 29% -10.6%
15% -33.1% 27% -19.3%
20% -39.7% 24% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt +9% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$58 vs −$28 · ×2.05 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.18 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,225
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses93 / 162
Open positions0
Markets (closed)255 / 255
History coverage6d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day193.6
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 255 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $37 −$37 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$13 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$19 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$24 +155%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$20 +132%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $19 +$77 +403%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$130 +622%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $142 +$415 +291%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $91 +$203 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $62 −$62 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $76 +$131 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $127 −$127 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $46 +$12 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $113 +$136 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$29 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $76 +$23 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $9 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1443 history records