Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:08:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52f0…0699
crypto · 1422 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,396 -47%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,393 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$1,393
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses643 / 1006
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1649 / 1422
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day827.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1649 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,517
7 days−$1,393
14 days−$1,393
30 days−$1,393
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 59¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+127%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 60¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-38%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$308
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1649 -16.3% -24.2% 39% 33% -39.2%
≤30d 1649 -16.3% -24.2% 39% 33% -39.2%
≤90d 1649 -16.3% -24.2% 39% 33% -39.2%
all 1649 -16.3% -24.2% 39% 33% -39.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover827.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.2% 33% -39.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.5% 27% -45.0%
15% -38.1% 21% -50.3%
20% -44.2% 16% -55.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.52 · official $1.70 · 3500 history records