Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52f6…af63
crypto · 1528 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$725 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$725 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$33
Realized−$725
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses731 / 793
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1524 / 1528
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day801.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 1524 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$420
7 days−$725
14 days−$725
30 days−$725
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 97¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 91¢ 96¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 91¢ 90¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 94¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 51¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -24%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$695
other 2% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 41m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 50m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 50m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1524 -10.0% -18.6% 48% 44% -18.3%
≤30d 1524 -10.0% -18.6% 48% 44% -18.3%
≤90d 1524 -10.0% -18.6% 48% 44% -18.3%
all 1524 -10.0% -18.6% 48% 44% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover801.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 44% -18.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 44% -26.1%
15% -33.5% 43% -33.2%
20% -40.0% 42% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.05 · official $24.33 · 3500 history records