Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:10:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52fe…d598
crypto · 657 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$384 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$384 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$384
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses314 / 343
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)657 / 657
History coverage18d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day155.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 657 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$367
7 days−$304
14 days−$1,038
30 days−$384
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$18 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$16 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$14 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$24 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$16 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$28 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$2 -24%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$11 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$12 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $37 +$12 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$19 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$9 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $35 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $33 +$11 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$7 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$344
sports 3% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 237 -25.0% -32.1% 36% 33% -23.4%
≤30d 657 -6.7% -15.6% 48% 45% -12.5%
≤90d 657 -6.7% -15.6% 48% 45% -12.5%
all 657 -6.7% -15.6% 48% 45% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover155.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 45% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 43% -20.9%
15% -31.0% 37% -28.5%
20% -37.8% 30% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records