Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5307…d0ec
crypto · 1121 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$275 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$269 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized−$269
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses707 / 392
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions25
Markets (closed)1099 / 1121
History coverage19d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day74.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 25 History 1099 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$161
14 days−$274
30 days−$269
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Under 18¢ 22¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+19%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 56¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 Under 17¢ 18¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 49¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Hurricanes 52¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) DR Congo 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 52¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 37¢ 38¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 48¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Hurricanes 31¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Under 46¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 46¢ 42¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 74¢ 66¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-10%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 25¢ 25¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? No 68¢ 96¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+42%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? No 31¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+223%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 37¢ 26¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-31%)
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Boston Red Sox 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $0 −$3 -2242%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2941%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $5 +$8 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $5 +$11 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$279
sports 18% +$66
other 5% −$31
world 0% −$5
weather 0% −$12
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL San Diego Padres 27¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Under 46¢ $5 4m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Detroit Tigers 37¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 13m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 37¢ $5 14m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 54¢ $5 16m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 37¢ $3 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 619 -7.8% -16.6% 66% 54% -12.3%
≤30d 1099 -8.7% -17.4% 64% 52% -12.2%
≤90d 1099 -8.7% -17.4% 64% 52% -12.2%
all 1099 -8.7% -17.4% 64% 52% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 52% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 30% -20.6%
15% -32.5% 19% -28.3%
20% -39.1% 13% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.85 · official $92.61 · 3500 history records