trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -11.1% | -19.6% | 80% | 20% | -19.3% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -30.2% | -36.8% | 52% | 41% | -35.6% |
| all | 32 | -22.6% | -30.0% | 53% | 41% | -27.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.0% | 41% | -27.3% |
| 10% | -36.7% | 34% | -34.3% |
| 15% | -42.8% | 22% | -40.6% |
| 20% | -48.4% | 19% | -46.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 15¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-85%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | May 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 23 | $5 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 16 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | May 04 | $5 | +$3 | +64% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Apr 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | Apr 27 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-18? | Apr 21 | $5 | +$1 | +28% |
| Rangers vs. Stars | Apr 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 13 | $6 | +$1 | +18% |
| Golden Knights vs. Canucks | Apr 11 | $5 | +$2 | +45% |
| Blackhawks vs. Sharks | Apr 07 | $4 | +$3 | +64% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Apr 06 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Blackhawks vs. Oilers | Apr 06 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | Apr 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Flyers | Apr 06 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | Apr 02 | $6 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | Apr 02 | $6 | +$1 | +24% |
| Kraken vs. Oilers | Apr 02 | $6 | +$4 | +61% |
| Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7? | Mar 28 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Mar 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Pacers | Mar 28 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Mar 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? | Mar 28 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Mar 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? | Mar 28 | $5 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamen | Mar 24 | $9 | +$5 | +61% |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan | Mar 18 | $2 | +$2 | +82% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Mar 03 | $6 | $0 | +7% |
| Oilers vs. Sharks | Mar 01 | $7 | +$10 | +144% |
| Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South Ameri | Feb 28 | $6 | $0 | +0% |