trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +139.8% | +116.9% | 67% | 67% | -54.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +21.8% | +10.2% | 43% | 43% | -30.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +41.1% | +27.7% | 60% | 60% | -9.5% |
| all | 25 | +41.1% | +27.7% | 60% | 60% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +27.7% | 60% | -9.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +15.4% | 60% | -18.2% |
| 15% | +4.3% | 56% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -5.9% | 56% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $94 | $95 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $33 | $38 | +$4 (+13%) |
| Will Oakland Athletics win the 2026 AL West title? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $24 | $24 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $15 | $16 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $12 | $14 | +$2 (+17%) |
| Will Rhyne Howard have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | Yes | 31¢ | 32¢ | $11 | $12 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $13,195 | +$21,805 | +165% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $2,754 | +$9,752 | +354% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $78,043 | −$78,000 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | Jun 05 | $13,500 | −$13,500 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | Jun 05 | $5,348 | −$5,348 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) | Jun 05 | $4,399 | −$4,399 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $75,000 | +$25,000 | +33% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5 | May 08 | $10,222 | +$9,778 | +96% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 | May 08 | $9,824 | +$10,176 | +104% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Apr 24 | $4,900 | +$4,947 | +101% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Apr 24 | $5,100 | +$4,900 | +96% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5 | Apr 21 | $4,500 | −$4,500 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5 | Apr 20 | $598 | −$598 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 | Apr 20 | $29 | +$35 | +122% |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) | Apr 20 | $2,080 | +$1,920 | +92% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5 | Apr 20 | $4,400 | +$5,600 | +127% |
| Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5 | Apr 18 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5 | Apr 18 | $483 | −$483 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5 | Apr 18 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | Apr 17 | $1,350 | +$3,650 | +270% |
| Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5 | Apr 16 | $2,000 | +$2,910 | +146% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Apr 16 | $2,600 | +$2,400 | +92% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 15 | $567 | −$567 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 | Apr 15 | $1,639 | +$2,172 | +133% |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | Apr 15 | $2,550 | +$2,450 | +96% |