trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +89.4% | +71.3% | 100% | 100% | +71.3% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +89.4% | +71.3% | 100% | 100% | +71.3% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +89.4% | +71.3% | 100% | 100% | +71.3% |
| all | 10 | -42.8% | -48.2% | 30% | 30% | -44.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.2% | 30% | -44.6% |
| 10% | -53.2% | 30% | -49.9% |
| 15% | -57.7% | 30% | -54.7% |
| 20% | -61.9% | 20% | -59.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $16 | +$14 | +89% |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22? | Aug 22 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4200 on August 19 at 4PM ET? | Aug 22 | $20 | +$18 | +92% |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times August 15–August 22? | Aug 21 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4300 on August 21 at 4PM E | Aug 21 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4300 on August 19 at | Aug 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between 4400 and 4500 on August 18 at 5P | Aug 18 | $10 | −$6 | -58% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4000 and $4100 on August 9 at 5 | Aug 09 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 8 at 5 | Aug 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 7 at 5PM ET | Aug 07 | $35 | +$17 | +48% |