Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5320…f3b2
crypto · 703 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$16,755 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22,929 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$22,929
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses381 / 477
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)858 / 703
History coverage30d
Avg bet$154
Trades / day107.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 858 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20,480
7 days−$20,735
14 days−$21,282
30 days−$22,929
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $200 −$207 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $63 −$38 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $135 −$135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5PM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $140 −$140 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $135 −$135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $250 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $250 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$2,520
culture 0% −$4
other 0% −$13
economics 0% −$2
sports 0% −$52
politics 0% −$12
weather 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $14 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $13 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $18 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $14 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $13 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $17 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $17 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $19 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $19 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-24.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 336 -46.1% -51.2% 36% 13% -91.6%
≤30d 858 -16.0% -24.0% 44% 34% -25.9%
≤90d 858 -16.0% -24.0% 44% 34% -25.9%
all 858 -16.0% -24.0% 44% 34% -25.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover107.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.0% 34% -25.9%
10% ← realistic here -31.3% 30% -33.0%
15% -37.9% 27% -39.5%
20% -44.0% 25% -45.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records