trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -5.7% | -14.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.6% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 15 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 22 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 24 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 25 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 10 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 14 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 10 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 23 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 21 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Browns win the AFC Championship? | Aug 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July? | Jul 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Fulham wins the Premier League? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | -20% |
| Crystal Palace wins the Premier League? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | -20% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League? | Jun 09 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 05 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 20 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Everton wins the Premier League? | Apr 20 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 26 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 08 | $730 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jan 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 10 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 05 | $33 | $0 | -0% |