trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Japan | 91¢ | 90¢ | $17 | $17 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14? | Jun 03 | $13 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-28? | Jun 03 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) | Jun 03 | $18 | +$2 | +8% |
| Exact Score: Inter Kashi FC 1 - 1 East Bengal FC? | Jun 03 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Mar 20 | $199 | +$19 | +9% |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Mar 20 | $1,335 | +$13 | +1% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun | Mar 20 | $365 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Mar 20 | $1,389 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Mar 20 | $1,395 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the e | Mar 20 | $39 | −$4 | -9% |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Mar 20 | $1,306 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Mar 20 | $211 | $0 | -0% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | Mar 20 | $30 | −$1 | -3% |
| FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Draw at halftime? | Mar 20 | $75 | +$52 | +70% |
| Map Handicap: EP (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5) | Mar 20 | $51 | +$90 | +178% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 75% | 0% | -23.2% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 60% | 13% | -7.2% |
| all | 15 | +11.2% | +0.6% | 60% | 13% | -7.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.6% | 13% | -7.2% |
| 10% | -9.0% | 13% | -16.1% |
| 15% | -17.8% | 13% | -24.2% |
| 20% | -25.8% | 13% | -31.6% |