Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x533b…0a9e
other · 6 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
−$10 -64%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$8
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)2 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 4 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 12¢ 8¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-33%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-24%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $4 −$3 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% −$9
crypto 22% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 5h
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 5h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 6h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 6h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 6h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 6h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 6h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 6h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 6h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 6h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 11h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 10¢ $4 11h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 11h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.46 · official $5.46 (match) · 14 history records