Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T11:48:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
53 0x5348…e9d3 crypto 914 markets active 11h ago coverage 43d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$2,742 (+31%) realized +$2,742 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +23% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -6% what you keep after slip
Net edge-6%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate34%312W / 602L
Drawdown18%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day52.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$288
7 days+$930
14 days+$741
30 days+$2,053
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,484
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 +36.9% +23.8% 43% 43% +21.1%
≤30d 510 +28.6% +16.4% 35% 34% +15.8%
≤90d 914 +22.6% +10.9% 34% 33% +14.6%
all 914 +22.6% +10.9% 34% 33% +14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.9% 33% +14.6%
10% ← realistic here +0.3% 31% +3.7%
15% -9.4% 30% -6.4%
20% -18.3% 29% -15.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +29% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +23% · $-wt +29% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +22% → late +23% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$8 · ×2.93 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.52 per $1 lost it wins $1.52
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,742
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses312 / 602
Open positions0
Markets (closed)914 / 914
History coverage43d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day52.8
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 914 Trades
no open positions (309 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $45 +$192 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $21 +$60 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 28 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 27 $21 +$53 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $21 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $47 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $11 +$10 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 26 $21 +$32 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 26 $20 +$10 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 26 $21 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$23 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$29 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 25 $42 −$40 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$19 +178%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $21 +$35 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 25 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $42 +$72 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $42 +$45 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 25 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $41 +$46 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $41 +$41 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$47 +223%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$31 +149%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$12 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 25 $63 +$188 +298%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 25 $66 −$63 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$90 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $58 −$58 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $21 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $17 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $18 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $32 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $21 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $28 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $17 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $21 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $9 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 35h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2819 history records