trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Germany | 50¢ | 50¢ | $26 | $26 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $0 | −$19 (-100%) |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $12 | +$15 | +123% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | +$7 | +68% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $39 | −$19 | -49% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$20 | -95% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $3 | +$5 | +152% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $23 | −$2 | -9% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -8.2% | -16.9% | 43% | 43% | -34.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -8.2% | -16.9% | 43% | 43% | -34.9% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -8.2% | -16.9% | 43% | 43% | -34.9% |
| all | 7 | -8.2% | -16.9% | 43% | 43% | -34.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.9% | 43% | -34.9% |
| 10% | -24.9% | 43% | -41.1% |
| 15% | -32.1% | 43% | -46.8% |
| 20% | -38.8% | 43% | -52.0% |