Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:38:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5350…31c5
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$9 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses2 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day11.6
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$9
14 days+$9
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $17 +$11 +67%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -57%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 −$1 -5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$2 -37%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $5 −$2 -40%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12 +$5 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% +$2
sports 25% +$9
politics 6% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $30 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $28 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $7 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $10 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $10 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 4h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 32¢ $3 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 52¢ $5 25h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 7¢ $3 25h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $5 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $16 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $12 34h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 34h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 11¢ $5 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -4.9% -14.0% 33% 33% +3.7%
≤30d 6 -4.9% -14.0% 33% 33% +3.7%
≤90d 6 -4.9% -14.0% 33% 33% +3.7%
all 6 -4.9% -14.0% 33% 33% +3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 33% +3.7%
10% -22.2% 33% -6.2%
15% -29.7% 33% -15.3%
20% -36.6% 17% -23.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.23 · official $30.23 (match) · 16 history records