Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:05:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
53 0x5365…8f1b crypto 455 markets active 4d ago coverage 14d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$200 (-5%) realized −$200 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate64%291W / 164L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day61.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$74
14 days−$238
30 days−$294
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$294
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 -5.3% -14.3% 47% 9% -15.4%
≤30d 455 -5.5% -14.5% 64% 21% -15.8%
≤90d 455 -5.5% -14.5% 64% 21% -15.8%
all 455 -5.5% -14.5% 64% 21% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 21% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 5% -23.8%
15% -30.1% 2% -31.2%
20% -37.0% 1% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
60% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses291 / 164
Open positions0
Markets (closed)455 / 455
History coverage14d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day61.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 455 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1010 history records