Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5375…aeea
sports · 201 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$336,970 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$335,679 · open −$770
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,298,696
Realized+$335,679
Unrealized−$770
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses221 / 121
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$10,667
Open positions172
Markets (closed)342 / 201
Avg bet$5,271
Trades / day966.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 172 History 342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$126,294
7 days+$335,679
14 days+$335,679
30 days+$335,679
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Yes 35¢ 100¢ $41,739 $117,788 +$76,050 (+182%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Yes 35¢ 100¢ $26,546 $75,054 +$48,508 (+183%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Yes 71¢ 100¢ $48,997 $68,810 +$19,813 (+40%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 52¢ 100¢ $35,282 $67,222 +$31,940 (+91%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $49,091 $47,131 −$1,960 (-4%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 37¢ 81¢ $17,229 $38,162 +$20,934 (+122%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 24¢ 19¢ $45,967 $35,893 −$10,074 (-22%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? Yes 59¢ 100¢ $20,969 $35,802 +$14,833 (+71%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 51¢ 100¢ $16,379 $32,352 +$15,972 (+98%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Yes 74¢ 100¢ $22,937 $30,926 +$7,989 (+35%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? Yes 59¢ 100¢ $17,829 $30,282 +$12,452 (+70%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Yes 77¢ 100¢ $21,851 $28,539 +$6,688 (+31%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? Yes 47¢ 100¢ $13,380 $28,420 +$15,040 (+112%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? Yes 60¢ 100¢ $13,733 $22,794 +$9,062 (+66%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $13,897 $20,470 +$6,573 (+47%)
Will United States win on 2026-05-31? Yes 47¢ 100¢ $9,506 $20,087 +$10,581 (+111%)
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Yes 56¢ 100¢ $10,462 $18,555 +$8,093 (+77%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11? Yes 56¢ 100¢ $9,119 $16,389 +$7,270 (+80%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Yes 48¢ 100¢ $7,446 $15,466 +$8,020 (+108%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Yes 49¢ 100¢ $7,461 $15,127 +$7,666 (+103%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $13,058 $14,203 +$1,146 (+9%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? Yes 69¢ 100¢ $9,364 $13,493 +$4,129 (+44%)
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16? Yes 81¢ 100¢ $10,511 $13,024 +$2,513 (+24%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12? Yes 67¢ 100¢ $5,906 $8,798 +$2,892 (+49%)
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Yes 60¢ 100¢ $5,084 $8,520 +$3,436 (+68%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Jun 12 $26,546 +$60,533 +228%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $35,282 +$31,940 +90%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? Jun 12 $20,969 +$14,833 +71%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $16,379 +$15,972 +98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $22,937 +$7,989 +35%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $17,829 +$12,452 +70%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $21,851 +$6,688 +31%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $13,380 +$15,040 +112%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $13,733 +$9,062 +66%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? Jun 12 $13,897 +$6,778 +49%
Will United States win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $9,506 +$10,581 +111%
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 12 $10,462 +$8,093 +77%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11? Jun 12 $9,119 +$10,485 +115%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Jun 12 $7,446 +$8,020 +108%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 12 $7,461 +$7,666 +103%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01? Jun 12 $9,364 +$4,129 +44%
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $10,511 +$2,513 +24%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $5,906 +$2,892 +49%
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Jun 12 $5,084 +$3,436 +68%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 12 $3,423 +$4,774 +140%
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship? Jun 12 $1,476 +$7,635 +517%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $3,986 +$3,585 +90%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $3,059 +$3,568 +117%
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference? Jun 12 $6,105 +$400 +7%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $3,548 +$2,821 +80%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $3,281 +$3,036 +92%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 12 $4,430 +$1,721 +39%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $3,442 +$2,223 +65%
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $2,125 +$3,317 +156%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $3,879 +$1,314 +34%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 12 $2,977 +$2,200 +74%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $1,993 +$2,554 +128%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? Jun 12 $3,414 +$1,097 +32%
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $2,068 +$2,337 +113%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 12 $1,990 +$2,381 +120%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 12 $2,221 +$2,105 +95%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $2,496 +$1,698 +68%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $2,073 +$2,000 +96%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 12 $2,006 +$2,006 +100%
Perugia: Marco Cecchinato vs Timofey Skatov Jun 12 $2,770 +$1,200 +43%
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola Jun 12 $3,188 +$772 +24%
Will Iraq win on 2026-05-29? Jun 12 $2,776 +$1,078 +39%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $2,507 +$1,239 +49%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $1,742 +$1,987 +114%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 12 $2,411 +$1,302 +54%
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Jun 12 $2,505 +$1,185 +47%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5 Jun 12 $2,140 +$1,451 +68%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics Jun 12 $2,158 +$1,335 +62%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $1,949 +$1,532 +79%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1,835 +$1,582 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% +$196,316
other 21% +$77,055
politics 0% −$17,553
crypto 0% +$2,270
tech 0% −$1,631
world 0% +$1
culture 0% −$1
economics 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $52 7m
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 3¢ $11 1h
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 1h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 1¢ $7 1h
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el BUY No 57¢ $183 1h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 1¢ $9 1h
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $30 2h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 50¢ $220 2h
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el BUY No 57¢ $157 2h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $55 2h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 64¢ $504 3h
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3h
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el BUY No 56¢ $188 3h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $17 3h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 25¢ $105 3h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 58¢ $149 3h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 50¢ $469 3h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele BUY No 18¢ $52 3h
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3h
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $30 3h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 50¢ $144 3h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $53 3h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $47 3h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 58¢ $188 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $122 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $393 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $143 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $165 4h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 50¢ $146 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+48.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 342 +64.3% +48.6% 65% 63% +5.5%
≤30d 342 +64.3% +48.6% 65% 63% +5.5%
≤90d 342 +64.3% +48.6% 65% 63% +5.5%
all 342 +64.3% +48.6% 65% 63% +5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover966.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +48.6% 63% +5.5%
10% +34.4% 59% -4.6%
15% ← realistic here +21.4% 52% -13.8%
20% +9.5% 45% -22.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,298,695.88 · official $1,298,693.57 (match) · 3500 history records