Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:14:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5386…1ad3
crypto · 519 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$172 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses246 / 273
Open positions0
Markets (closed)519 / 519
History coverage59d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day26.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 519 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$37
14 days+$37
30 days+$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$10 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$17 +285%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$13 +228%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 273 +2.7% -7.0% 45% 32% -7.9%
≤30d 273 +2.7% -7.0% 45% 32% -7.9%
≤90d 519 +0.8% -8.8% 47% 33% -9.9%
all 519 +0.8% -8.8% 47% 33% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 33% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 20% -18.5%
15% -25.5% 11% -26.4%
20% -32.8% 7% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1630 history records