Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:21:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x5397…3889
other · 280 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
−$83 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses135 / 142
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)277 / 280
History coverage595d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 3 History 277 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs LOUD (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season LOUD 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Fnatic 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage LYON 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season MVK Esports 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BIG 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 MIBR 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $1 +$1 +95%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $2 +$3 +103%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $3 +$2 +70%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 02 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Los Ratones win the LEC 2026 Versus? Jun 02 $10 $0 +4%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage Jan 31 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 20 Jan 31 $17 +$1 +4%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31? Jan 31 $1 +$1 +63%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs LOUD (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season Jan 31 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jan 31 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season Jan 31 $4 +$1 +41%
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Jan 31 $2 $0 -16%
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage Jan 31 $6 +$2 +28%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jan 31 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jan 30 $3 −$1 -50%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jan 30 $3 −$2 -58%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 30 $5 +$1 +29%
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jan 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jan 30 $2 −$1 -56%
Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs Jan 30 $2 +$3 +156%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage Jan 30 $3 −$1 -34%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jan 30 $3 +$2 +88%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jan 30 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 30 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Jan 30 $9 +$11 +130%
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seas Jan 30 $8 +$1 +9%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29? Jan 30 $1 +$1 +79%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29? Jan 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29? Jan 30 $2 +$1 +64%
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-01-29? Jan 30 $1 +$1 +82%
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-29? Jan 30 $2 −$2 -69%
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29? Jan 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29? Jan 29 $2 −$1 -60%
Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoff Jan 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-28? Jan 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28? Jan 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28? Jan 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jan 29 $9 +$3 +35%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseve Jan 29 $5 +$1 +20%
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jan 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SS Lazio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Jan 29 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance Jan 29 $1 +$1 +82%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jan 28 $1 $0 +35%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jan 28 $1 $0 +45%
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jan 27 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 27 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 27 $4 +$1 +35%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jan 27 $4 +$1 +28%
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance Jan 26 $4 +$1 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$13
sports 40% −$36
politics 13% −$20
economics 2% −$8
crypto 1% −$7
world 1% +$4
tech 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL GamerLegion 99¢ $2 10d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY GamerLegion 50¢ $1 10d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL LGD Gaming 99¢ $5 10d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY BIG 54¢ $3 10d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 SELL M80 100¢ $5 10d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St BUY MIBR 79¢ $4 10d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY M80 58¢ $3 10d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 48¢ $2 10d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage BUY LYON 34¢ $11 131d
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 20 SELL Yes 85¢ $8 131d
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31? SELL No 62¢ $2 131d
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs LOUD (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season BUY LOUD 72¢ $4 131d
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season BUY Fnatic 70¢ $4 131d
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season SELL FURIA Esports 100¢ $5 131d
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season BUY FURIA Esports 71¢ $4 131d
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular SELL MVK Esports 72¢ $2 132d
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular BUY MVK Esports 43¢ $2 132d
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31? BUY No 38¢ $1 132d
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage SELL T1 100¢ $8 132d
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage BUY T1 78¢ $6 132d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In SELL Liquid 26¢ $1 132d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In SELL GamerLegion 26¢ $1 132d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In BUY GamerLegion 62¢ $3 132d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In BUY Liquid 52¢ $3 132d
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In BUY NIP 66¢ $7 132d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 6 +12.0% +1.3% 67% 50% -12.5%
≤90d 6 +12.0% +1.3% 67% 50% -12.5%
all 277 -11.2% -19.6% 49% 47% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.6% 47% -16.2%
10% -27.3% 39% -24.2%
15% -34.4% 30% -31.5%
20% -40.8% 24% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.90 · official $4.90 (match) · 914 history records