Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:32:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x53a4…4447
culture · 144 markets active 98d ago
0.0score
+$99,213 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$99,213 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY culture specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$99,213
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses91 / 53
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)144 / 144
Avg bet$4,547
Trades / day29.8
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 0 History 144 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? Mar 27 $196 −$196 -100%
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m a Mar 27 $2,629 −$2,469 -94%
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m Mar 27 $4,678 −$4,678 -100%
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m? Mar 27 $1,040 −$509 -49%
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m Mar 27 $2,490 −$499 -20%
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m? Mar 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair? Mar 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? Mar 27 $545 −$545 -100%
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m? Mar 27 $280 −$280 -100%
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale? Mar 27 $4,338 +$1,884 +43%
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10 Mar 27 $185 −$129 -70%
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? Mar 27 $18 −$18 -100%
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m Mar 27 $29,740 −$13,908 -47%
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? Mar 27 $11,289 −$3,596 -32%
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than Mar 27 $1,864 +$1,821 +98%
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? Mar 27 $120 −$120 -100%
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m? Mar 27 $459 −$459 -100%
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? Mar 27 $671 −$671 -100%
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by Jan Mar 27 $330 −$330 -100%
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m an Mar 27 $310 −$310 -100%
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale? Mar 27 $220 −$220 -100%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Feb 28 $77,443 +$234 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Feb 28 $950 +$770 +81%
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? Feb 27 $527 +$427 +81%
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m? Feb 27 $1,890 +$1,110 +59%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Feb 19 $1,976 −$821 -42%
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10 Feb 18 $568 +$103 +18%
Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be le Feb 17 $1,106 +$34 +3%
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m? Feb 17 $3,135 +$388 +12%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? Feb 17 $24,440 −$433 -2%
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m? Feb 17 $1,590 +$1,407 +88%
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m? Feb 17 $7,050 +$1,163 +16%
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and Feb 16 $7 $0 +0%
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m? Feb 15 $1,685 +$63 +4%
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8.5m? Feb 10 $273 +$91 +33%
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less th Feb 10 $354 +$772 +218%
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m? Feb 10 $1,076 +$136 +13%
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between Feb 10 $943 +$1,496 +159%
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale? Feb 07 $3,098 +$241 +8%
US government shutdown Saturday? Feb 04 $24,185 +$358 +2%
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m? Feb 03 $1,435 +$25 +2%
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 40 Feb 03 $17,645 +$3,018 +17%
Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend? Feb 02 $8,582 +$742 +9%
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than Jan 31 $3,889 +$244 +6%
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? Jan 31 $6,515 +$39 +1%
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m? Jan 30 $130 +$100 +77%
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? Jan 27 $5,066 +$157 +3%
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less Jan 24 $4,241 +$845 +20%
Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m? Jan 13 $574 +$243 +42%
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m Jan 13 $811 +$413 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
culture 48% +$62,421
other 32% +$16,992
tech 8% +$18,201
economics 5% −$1,522
politics 5% +$679
sports 1% +$1,457
world 1% +$779
crypto 0% +$207
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m? BUY Yes 40¢ $330 97d
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m? BUY Yes 36¢ $108 97d
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m? BUY Yes 34¢ $8 97d
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m? BUY Yes 34¢ $13 97d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $39,287 103d
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? SELL Yes 36¢ $12 104d
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? SELL Yes 36¢ $4 104d
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? SELL Yes 36¢ $2 104d
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? SELL Yes 36¢ $10 104d
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? SELL Yes 36¢ $360 104d
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? SELL Yes 47¢ $567 104d
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m? BUY Yes 23¢ $527 104d
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? SELL Yes 18¢ $720 109d
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $950 109d
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m? BUY Yes 63¢ $1,742 110d
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m? BUY Yes 63¢ $148 110d
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $180 112d
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $90 112d
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $180 112d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $9,620 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY No 96¢ $14,430 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $3,964 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $1 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $33 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $38 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $1 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $32 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $1 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $33 113d
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL No 96¢ $4 113d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 21 -70.0% -72.9% 10% 10% -46.7%
all 144 +22.4% +10.7% 63% 47% +4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.7% 47% +4.2%
10% +0.1% 31% -5.8%
15% ← realistic here -9.5% 24% -14.9%
20% -18.4% 19% -23.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records