Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:16:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x53ae…f71e
sports · 213 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,820 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,722 · open −$75
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$109
Realized−$4,722
Unrealized−$75
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses143 / 408
Est. fees paid−$215
Open positions1
Markets (closed)551 / 213
History coverage23d
Avg bet$73
Trades / day142.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 551 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,074
7 days−$3,175
14 days−$4,262
30 days−$4,722
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Julia Avdeeva 26¢ 100¢ $27 $104 +$76 (+283%)
ITF Tokyo: Sora Fukuda vs Alan Magadan Alan Magadan 56¢ 50¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-11%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Tatjana Maria vs Yuriko Miyazaki Tatjana Maria 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Eva Vedder 73¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Denis Shapovalov 55¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere Laslo Djere 47¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ostrava: Rudolf Molleker vs Henri Squire Henri Squire 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkaya Mert Alkaya 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego Pedro Martinez 38¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashima Brandon Nakashima 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina Linda Noskova 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day Kayla Day 39¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Z7 Esports (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B Z7 Esports 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Wuning 2: Alexandr Binda vs Charles Broom Alexandr Binda 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 28¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ostrava: Zsombor Piros vs Tom Gentzsch Zsombor Piros 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli Camilo Ugo Carabelli 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lautaro Midon Genaro Alberto Olivieri 38¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Tabur Clement Tabur 71¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Aix en Provence: Kimmer Coppejans vs Valentin Royer Valentin Royer 74¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
ITF Litija: Kirill Kivattsev vs Gabriele Bosio Kirill Kivattsev 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Lucie Havlickova 63¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalieva Elvina Kalieva 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere Jun 14 $17 −$13 -79%
Ostrava: Rudolf Molleker vs Henri Squire Jun 14 $6 +$13 +211%
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkaya Jun 14 $8 −$7 -90%
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego Jun 14 $34 −$19 -54%
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashima Jun 14 $7 +$22 +324%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Z7 Esports (BO1) - Parken Challenger Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Wuning 2: Alexandr Binda vs Charles Broom Jun 14 $8 +$32 +412%
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Ostrava: Zsombor Piros vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 14 $2 +$2 +76%
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Tabur Jun 14 $35 −$50 -141%
Aix en Provence: Kimmer Coppejans vs Valentin Royer Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
ITF Litija: Kirill Kivattsev vs Gabriele Bosio Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn Jun 14 $32 −$26 -79%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: McCartney Kessler vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 14 $24 −$26 -106%
Savannah: Nick Hardt vs Jack Kennedy Jun 14 $3 +$45 +1514%
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverry Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs M Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Ostrava: Marco Cecchinato vs Garrett Johns Jun 14 $9 −$3 -31%
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 14 $7 −$15 -200%
Ostrava: Raul Brancaccio vs Toby Samuel Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Shymkent 2: Amir Omarkhanov vs Denis Yevseyev Jun 14 $7 +$3 +42%
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Jun 14 $48 −$56 -118%
Jiujiang: Keegan Smith vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 14 $37 −$49 -135%
Jiujiang: Alex Bolt vs Adam Walton Jun 14 $5 +$42 +874%
Oeiras 3: Greet Minnen vs Petra Marcinko Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Joel Schwaerzler Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Oeiras 3: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Francisca Jorge Jun 14 $11 −$15 -139%
Shymkent 2: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Buvaysar Gadamauri Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Santa Cruz: Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboian Jun 14 $56 −$56 -100%
Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn Jun 14 $4 +$41 +1130%
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Anna Blinkova Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Jiujiang: Fajing Sun vs Tristan Schoolkate Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry Jun 14 $164 −$164 -100%
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Michael Mmoh Jun 14 $10 −$9 -90%
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNally Jun 14 $5 +$40 +746%
Jiujiang: Sho Shimabukuro vs Keegan Smith Jun 14 $30 −$45 -149%
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Visker Jun 14 $6 −$4 -72%
Savannah: Andres Andrade vs Nishesh Basavareddy Jun 14 $24 −$21 -88%
Saint-Malo: Moyuka Uchijima vs Ksenia Efremova Jun 14 $3 +$18 +646%
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 14 $5 −$2 -36%
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Darwin Blanch Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmoh Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs WinteR SquadronS (BO3) - EPL World Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,727
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 72¢ $4 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 31¢ $6 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 31¢ $0 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 31¢ $2 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 68¢ $3 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 68¢ $3 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 69¢ $3 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 76¢ $4 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 24¢ $2 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 24¢ $2 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 76¢ $3 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 76¢ $1 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 76¢ $3 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 79¢ $9 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 18¢ $2 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 75¢ $3 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 75¢ $3 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 75¢ $3 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 25¢ $2 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 28¢ $6 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 28¢ $0 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 72¢ $17 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 24¢ $5 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 70¢ $14 1h
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov BUY Alexandra Vagramov 38¢ $2 14h
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov BUY Alina Shcherbinina 64¢ $3 14h
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov BUY Alexandra Vagramov 45¢ $2 14h
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov BUY Alina Shcherbinina 60¢ $3 14h
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov BUY Alina Shcherbinina 60¢ $0 14h
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov BUY Alexandra Vagramov 50¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 370 +36.9% +23.9% 21% 20% -52.3%
≤30d 551 +24.8% +12.9% 26% 20% -36.9%
≤90d 551 +24.8% +12.9% 26% 20% -36.9%
all 551 +24.8% +12.9% 26% 20% -36.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover142.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.9% 20% -36.9%
10% ← realistic here +2.1% 19% -42.9%
15% -7.8% 18% -48.4%
20% -16.8% 16% -53.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $108.71 · official $108.61 (match) · 3500 history records