trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -33.9% | -40.2% | 38% | 38% | -17.7% |
| ≤30d | 28 | -32.7% | -39.1% | 36% | 36% | -11.7% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -32.7% | -39.1% | 36% | 36% | -11.7% |
| all | 29 | -35.1% | -41.2% | 34% | 34% | -12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.2% | 34% | -12.4% |
| 10% | -46.9% | 31% | -20.8% |
| 15% | -52.0% | 31% | -28.4% |
| 20% | -56.7% | 28% | -35.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $179 | $177 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $83 | +$42 | +51% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $49 | +$34 | +68% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $60 | +$40 | +67% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 | Jun 18 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $4 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | +$1 | +47% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $75 | +$84 | +113% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $77 | −$77 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5 | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +91% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +223% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $93 | +$50 | +54% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +58% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | Jun 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | Jun 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |