trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 44% | 12% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 44% | 11% | -9.1% |
| all | 27 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 59% | 11% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 11% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 4% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 4% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 4% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 25 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 24 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 23 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 02 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 31 | $46 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 31 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 31 | $76 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $43 | −$2 | -4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $42 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 28 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 27 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 26 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Remco Evenepoel win the Tour de France 2025? | Dec 10 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 01 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jul 01 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will "In the Shadow of the Cypress" win Best Animated Short Film at th | Mar 21 | $4 | +$4 | +96% |
| Will "I'm Not a Robot" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 21 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |