Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:19:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x53c4…eb4b
crypto · 158 markets active 5h ago
3.5score
+$13 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses95 / 63
Open positions0
Markets (closed)158 / 158
History coverage56d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 158 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$2
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 30 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 30 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 30 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 30 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 25 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 25 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 25 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 23 $5 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 23 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 23 $4 −$3 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 23 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 23 $9 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 22 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 21 $4 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 21 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 21 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 20 $4 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 20 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 20 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 20 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 19 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 18 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 18 $4 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 18 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 18 $9 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 17 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 17 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 16 $3 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 16 $5 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 16 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 16 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 16 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 16 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 15 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 14 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 11 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 11 $5 +$2 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -6.8% -15.7% 71% 14% -16.4%
≤30d 46 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 33% -11.2%
≤90d 158 +0.5% -9.0% 60% 44% -8.1%
all 158 +0.5% -9.0% 60% 44% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 44% -8.1%
10% -17.7% 28% -16.9%
15% -25.7% 15% -24.9%
20% -33.0% 8% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 361 history records