Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:33:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x53dd…283c
crypto · 377 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$71 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses209 / 168
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)377 / 377
History coverage35d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day42.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 377 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$45
14 days+$33
30 days+$143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$34 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $33 −$32 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $49 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $63 +$49 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $53 −$51 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $52 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$10 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$11 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$4 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $20 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $47 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 08 $13 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 07 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $6 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 07 $80 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$7 +685%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 07 $46 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 07 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $20 +$12 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $14 −$13 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$113
other 1% +$3
weather 1% −$44
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $41 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 +13.2% +2.4% 69% 36% -6.2%
≤30d 324 +1.7% -8.0% 56% 45% -7.2%
≤90d 377 +1.7% -8.0% 55% 45% -8.5%
all 377 +1.7% -8.0% 55% 45% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 45% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 38% -17.3%
15% -24.8% 33% -25.3%
20% -32.2% 27% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1656 history records