Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

53
0x53eb…90eb
crypto · 946 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,421 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,099 · open −$322
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$114
Realized−$5,099
Unrealized−$322
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses720 / 223
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$174
Open positions3
Markets (closed)943 / 946
History coverage101d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day18.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 943 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$213
7 days+$313
14 days−$769
30 days−$1,509
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $75 $113 +$38 (+51%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5 Under 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 Under 67¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 Under 14¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5 Under 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 0.5 Under 2¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5 Under 17¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 0.5 Under 21¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $77 −$75 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $142 +$29 +20%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $58 +$88 +152%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $306 +$61 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $256 +$4 +2%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $201 −$200 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$4 +9%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $103 −$42 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -96%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $294 +$227 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$18 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$7 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $88 +$5 +6%
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $238 −$236 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $271 −$26 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $245 +$16 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $97 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $266 +$9 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $256 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $76 +$19 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$7 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $173 +$12 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $232 +$4 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$18 +29%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $363 +$249 +68%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $110 −$107 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$35 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $174 −$170 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $227 −$30 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $140 −$131 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$9 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $300 +$6 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$14 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$14 -69%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $260 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$6 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $250 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$4 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $81 +$5 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$4 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$1,884
sports 16% −$3,381
other 1% −$155
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $23 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $54 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $55 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $23 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $22 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $22 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $22 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $22 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $54 24m
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners SELL Under 100¢ $146 26m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 50¢ $163 57m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 26¢ $204 1h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $367 1h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 82¢ $306 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 76¢ $201 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $53 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $53 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $53 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $53 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $22 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $22 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $22 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $22 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Under 39¢ $58 2h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 0.5 SELL Under 21¢ $57 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $22 2h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 52¢ $521 2h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $294 3h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 9¢ $103 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 267 -2.7% -12.0% 82% 26% -8.1%
≤30d 442 -6.7% -15.6% 77% 31% -12.4%
≤90d 837 -8.0% -16.8% 75% 28% -17.3%
all 943 -6.1% -15.0% 76% 30% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 30% -15.4%
10% -23.2% 17% -23.5%
15% -30.6% 10% -30.9%
20% -37.4% 7% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $113.61 · official $40.89 · 3500 history records